XRP’s Passive Rally: $3 Support in Question Amid Persistent Fundamental Weakness

Latest XRP Price and Market Performance

Chart: https://www.gate.com/trade/XRP_USDT

According to data from the Gate trading platform, as of August 4 at 11:00, XRP is trading at $3.000, up 5.63% over the past 24 hours. The daily high reached $3.031, while the low touched $2.815, with trading volume totaling 22.61M XRP.

Although XRP appears to be rebounding strongly, this move merely reflects the broader crypto market’s recovery. Major coins like BTC, ETH, and SOL posted significant rebounds over the same 24-hour period. XRP’s gains are simply following the market and are not driven by its own catalysts or buying pressure.

Market-Wide Rebound, Not Independent Strength

Compared with other crypto assets, XRP’s gains are unremarkable. During the same period, MBG surged over 13%, VINE rose more than 11%, and ZORA climbed over 9%, while XRP managed just above a 5% increase—indicative of relatively weak momentum.

Furthermore, market sentiment remains focused on BTC reclaiming the $119,000 mark, rather than any independent XRP narrative. This underscores that the latest XRP rally lacks independence and is primarily reactive.

Ripple: Fundamentals Lack New Drivers

Ripple’s fundamental developments heavily influence XRP’s price. Despite Ripple’s ongoing expansion of its payment network, the unresolved SEC lawsuit continues to cast regulatory uncertainty over the company.

Additionally, Ripple has yet to announce any major partnerships or product launches, leaving the market without fresh catalysts. Institutional investors are cautious, resulting in muted capital inflows.

Technical Structure Remains Weak

From a technical analysis standpoint, although XRP has pushed up to $3, strong overhead resistance remains. The current price hovers around the 60-day moving average (MA60), signaling that XRP is still trading within a consolidation range.

While the RSI has rebounded from lower levels, it hasn’t reached overbought territory. The MACD is nearing a bullish crossover, but momentum indicators remain subdued. This suggests XRP remains in a weak rebound phase, rather than entering a strong uptrend.

$3 Level: Both Support and Risk

$3 is a critical psychological level that XRP has tested multiple times historically. Over the past two years, XRP has only briefly broken above $3 before swiftly falling back, highlighting the heavy resistance at this threshold.

Traders have clustered sell orders between $3.005 and $3.010. If XRP fails to break through this range on strong volume, it could quickly retreat to the $2.93–$2.85 zone.

How Investors Should Assess XRP’s Outlook

XRP’s price movement remains dependent on the overall market trend; if BTC and ETH undergo another correction, XRP could be among the first to decline.

In the medium and long term, the key is whether Ripple can deliver concrete progress on the legal front. Product rollouts are also essential. Without such progress, XRP will likely remain unable to rally independently.

For investors, now is not the time to pursue further gains. If the price slips below the $2.90 support, consider reducing exposure or placing stop-loss orders. Only a decisive breakout above $3.10 on strong volume would signal a true trend reversal.

Conclusion

Although XRP has temporarily reclaimed the $3 threshold, this move is largely a reflection of broader market action rather than independent strength. Its standalone momentum remains weak, and investors should not be misled by superficial rebounds. In today’s macro environment, prudent risk management is more important than optimism.